Marty

The dom chart is a good metric, most don't like it but it seems to work quite well, i use it to shift positions around. I'm not sure what happens, but i think alts are the best play probably, even if btc outperforms in certain periods, alts will over perform during the periods of btc consolidation. I don't really see btc dom going much higher but i'm good with up or down as i have good exposure to both btc and alts.

Well, this time is indeed different. Btc at all time high, great stuff, but not what was expected for this point in the cycle. All previous cycles we've had a pre halving high - that should have been 48k this time, then a period of consolidation into halving, and lastly a run to all time high after halving, peaking roughly a year and a half after halving. Not this time We haven't even got to the halving and we've blown past all time high. Suppose now we have the ETFs gobbling up all the btc the demand is greatly increased, compared to previous cycles, where it was just a bunch of degens playing a game of hot potato. Cycles are still cycles though. So going forward what can we expect? Looks to me like this is one of two things, a left translated cycle, or the fabled supercycle. I think this is likely the first, a left translated, you're best off googling the meaning, but basically it's pretty ferocious, ends much sooner and we have a longer bear market afterwards - blow of top by the end of this year, $150-250k btc and then 2 and a half year bear. The supercycle lasts around the same as a normal cycle, ending q4 25, but makes all previous cycles looks like minor blips on the chart, the bear will be long and rough after a supercycle too. At this point, unless you've got a decent quantity of btc, you're honestly better off being balls deep in alts. Btc is too expensive for the normies now, as they flood in, they're going to be buying alts. Make no mistake, this is a bullmarket. Dips, even very aggressive ones, are gifts and not where you panic sell. This is likely the last cycle for a while, don't fcuk it up We'll reassess in a few months, but the focus now is taking profits towards the end of the year and adding to positions in the periods of heavy selling before then. Happy to hear other peoples thoughts on this?

Etf approved, btc hit 48k. It's easy this trading lark Needs to cool off now, 27k might be wishful thinking but i wouldn't be surprised to see md to low 30s over the next couple of months. Btc halving is in april. I expect the next cycle top in ~Oct'25 assuming the same pattern as the previous few cycles.

I'll send you a pm

I'll take the sway bar bud, if you're happy to post it?

Update on the chart. We broke above the range high of $30k, i like that. interested to see what happens next, whether its an echo of previous pre halving price action. Keeping it simple, we don't want to close a weekly candle under 30k and end up back in the previous range, as long as we stay above we're golden Btc ETF coming, likely Jan, hard to know what happens. If i was to take a punt, it'll be pump and then nuke. ie, 47 then 27 . current chart, exact one as the ones above, with updated price action. https://www.tradingview.com/x/qKgUuvnI/

It can't, as Zen says, they're completely different size flanges, the uk one is much larger, possibly different length cats too. Resurrecting old brain cells here but i think the uk specs bolt on to an egr whereas the jspecs don't, that's why they're different. You'll never get one to fit. Source a 2nd cat, your car will pass emissions with just that installed, no need for the first one too.

What coilovers do you have bud? potentially interested.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZywsIjZU/ Same chart, 3months on and btc up 50% and at the top of the range. Price still above green line, so hodl. A lot of price action happened in this low $30k area in the previous bull market, making it a tough nut to crack on the way back up. Unlikely it breaks first time, ideal scenario is btc goes sideways for a while whist ALT coins play catch up. Daily 50ma is at $25.9k and rising, the daily candle closing below that would be first sign of trouble. Still think this is an echobubble similar to 2019, see what happens hey.

Been a while since i've updated my thoughts. End of year was interesting to say the least, all the big players rekt, ftx a complete shitshow - i hope no one lost money on there, i honestly didn't see that one coming. Made for a good capitulation event though, and well, it lined up perfectly with the 4 year cycle low being at the end of the year, funny how that works hey. Good call by Rider early Nov saying btc was looking like a good buy Personally, i think the bottom is in, for this year at least, and we have a nice bit of deviation in price action on the chart to work with like we did at the previous cycle low,(red box) we shouldn't see prices below $18.1 again, easy stop loss. I didn't catch the bottom, my average is ~$16.5k, i got stopped out the previous trade at $22k. Have my new stops at 18 and we'll just see how they go. Added ghost bars to the chart for an idea of what the price action may look like - it's a copy paste of 2019, but who knows, halving is mid 24, 6 figure BTC 9months later if cycle repeats like it has the previous few times. But maybe it's all going to zero this time and this is a bull trap. It will one day I like to use the Cm ultimate moving average indicator on higher time frame charts, if it's green and price action is above it, hodl. Not financial advice and risk only what you can afford to lose https://www.tradingview.com/x/qvv4XBCc/

I quite like watching the automatricsMtrack vids on YouTube, their trackers seem pretty decent and well supported. https://www.youtube.com/c/AutomatricsMtrack

Balls, there goes my 2 figure renewal Classic still worth a shot with another company though mate, let us know how you get on, looks like i'll be looking myself in a few months.

Have you tried classic insurance bud? What i'm paying on my tt6 vvti is less than half of your best quote. Through LV Classic.

I use anker cables on my devices, braided. The last time i bought one was in 2017 and i'm still using that one now, daily.. Would recommend.

Same Well we are above the daily 50ma, back above the weekly 200ma and monthly 50ma. Making higher highs and higher lows on the daily. I don't see any reason to cut positions for the time being, easy invalidation now - a lower high/low or a break and close below one of the important ma's. A daily close below $22.6 is a good stop loss area (lower low). Not the point to fomo back in either though, poor risk reward now. Chart looks to be printing a bear flag, which would line up with my assumption that this is a midterm rally/ dead cat and we'll resume the bear market within the next few months. Still eyeing EOY for final capitulation, whether that is a equal low, higher low, or more towards $12kish, who knows, we'll have to just see how things pan out. Looking for previous support (29k ish) or daily 200ma, as top, but again, lets just see how things go. None of this is financial advice btw https://www.tradingview.com/x/cnjbz2I3/